Pa Jason McIntyre
FOX sports betting analyst
As it was in the second week NFL football!?
It felt like March Madness on the gridiron with all the throwbacks and buzzers from last week. Baltimore and Oakland blew big leads in the fourth quarter, the Cowboys won a close quarter without Doc and the New York Giants are 2-0. Are you ready for football? At this point, do we even need to ask this question?
No other sport brings the moment quite like football. On top of that late-game excitement, the season is only three weeks old and we’re already talking playoff implications.
The league is becoming real very soon, so let’s not think about it anymore. Here are my best bets for Week 3 (with odds via Bet FOX)!
Raiders @ Titans (1 p.m. ET Sunday, FOX)
Call me crazy, but this looks like an early elimination game in the AFC playoff race. Both teams made the playoffs last year, but both are 0-2 after stifling road games in the fourth quarter — the Raiders at home vs. Arizona and the titans at home vs Giants in the 1st week.
Tennessee is the underdog at home under Mike Vrabel, which is usually a good bet, but can you take this defense to counter Davante Adams and Darren Waller? Buffalo’s offense scored 34 points in two and a half quarters on Monday, and the starters sat out the fourth. The Raiders could have had that kind of success. If Hunter Renfrow no fumble in overtime on Sunday, the Raiders are likely 1-1, and that spread is -3.5.
When it comes to Oakland, the only thing to watch out for is fatigue. The Raiders have played 78 games on the field against the Cardinals and now travel across the country for a 1:00 p.m.
The Titans were defeated for 1 week on earth Saquon Barkleyso there is a chance Josh Jacobs gets loose for the big game. And I expect Adams to surpass his 2-catch, 12-yard performance last week by the end of the first quarter.
The Titans have looked woefully inept in all phases of the game for two weeks and I’m rolling with the chalk here.
CHOICE: Raiders (-2.5 at FOX Bet) to win by more than 2.5 points
Chiefs @ Colts (1 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS)
The Colts should be the worst team in the NFL through two games. After a draw on the road vs Texansthey were closed Jacksonville. As if things could get any worse, the 2-0 Chiefs arrive on extra rest, and Patrick Mahomes never lost a game in the domed stadium.
The daunting prospect of keeping the Chiefs track stars indoors, and the only chance the Colts will have is to keep Mahomes on the sidelines with a heavy dose Jonathan Taylor. With Kansas City’s second leading player, linebacker Willie Gay, suspended for four games, could be a chance to use the Chiefs on the ground. It’s unclear if the rookie is a third-round pick Lea Chenal will start in his place.
Be careful betting against teams that have just been shut out – undefeated teams are 25-9 against the spread (ATS) going into next week over the last seven seasons.
The injury report will be crucial for Indy. Matt Ryan was without his top receiver (Michael Pittman) in Jacksonville and their top defensive player (Shaq Leonard) has not yet played this season.
The prediction line for this one was -3, but after the Colts were shut out, it went up to -6.5. He’ll touch seven and there will be a Colts redemption.
Side note: Frank Reich may be the trainer for his work in this.
If you can get -6.5 take it, but it’s not a bet for me at -7. KC will also be in many teasers.
CHOICE: Chiefs (-6.5 at FOX Bet) to win by more than 6.5 points
Jerry Jones expresses early concern for Jalen Hurts, Eagles | CARTON SHOW
Jalen Hurts’ performance in the Philadelphia Eagles’ decisive win over the Minnesota Vikings on Monday night got Jerry Jones talking.
Ravens @ Patriots (1 p.m. ET Sunday, FOX)
It’s not often you gain 473 yards of offense, put up 8.8 ypp, win a +2 battle and lead by 21 points in the fourth quarter at home … and lose.
Chalk it up to a very fortuitous result when Baltimore defensive coordinator Mike McDonald called a terrible second half that led to massive partial plays against two good CBs, Marlon Humphrey and Marcus Peters.
New England lacks speed at receiver – Miami strength. I’m surprised the total hasn’t changed because the Patriots aren’t built to hang around in shootouts. And their run defense has yet to allow a touchdown or carry of more than 20 yards.
The Patriots’ main hope of stealing a Wild Card bid is scratching and clawing out low-scoring, 17-14 types of games where Mc Jones doesn’t allow mistakes and the defense is at the top Matthew Eudon — holds teams to a field goal, not a touchdown.
Lamar Jackson hasn’t faced the Patriots since Cam Newton was their QB in 2020, and in a monsoon-time game, the Ravens — who favored TDs on the road — lost 23-17. Look for a similar result in this one as the Pats try to screw it up.
CHOICE: Both teams combined for less than 43 points
of Bengal @ Jet planes (1 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS)
This is a rematch from last year when the Jets were riding a third string QB Mike White to a thrilling 34-31 win on Halloween. White passed for 405 yards and three TDs, including two in the final five minutes. In terms of gambling, the Jets won as 11.5 point underdogs!
Cincinnati can’t defend Joe Burrow (again) as he absorbed 13 sacks in two games and their tackles were abused TJ Watt and Micah Parsons. As a result, the Bengals didn’t have a single explosive play (20-plus yards) against last week. Dallas. But the Jets don’t have that quality of a raid rusher. Coach Robert Saleh will have to blitz because his front four can’t generate much pressure (30th in pressure rate). So, this is one big match to watch in this game.
The Bengals have trailed by double digits in the first half of their last four games dating back to last year’s playoffs. Eventually, Cincinnati will rally… right? That’s a discussion for another day.
The Jets safeties were terrible, getting three strong points against Lamar Jackson in Week 1. The Bengals faced two bad QBs – Cooper Rush and Mitchell Trubisky — and now they are facing each other Joe Flacco. The game looks like it has the potential for a shootout as the Jets starters made a big jump from Week 1 to Week 2.
The total has already risen from 43 to 45. You missed the best number, but over 45 is a choice.
CHOICE: Over 45 points scored by both teams combined at FOX Bet
Jason McIntyre is a betting analyst for FOX Sports who also writes about the NFL and NBA drafts. He joined FS1 in 2016 and has appeared on all of the network’s shows. In 2017, McIntyre began producing NFL, college football and NBA gaming content for FOX Sports. In 2018 and 2019, he had a gambling podcast for FOX, “Coming Up Winners”. Before joining FOX, he created the website The Big Lead, which he sold in 2010.